Friday, July 20, 2012

Nanos Federal Tracking: CP 34 NDP 30 LP 27 GP 4 BQ 4

And not a peep from the media, especially the CBC. Strange that.

The latest Nanos tracking shows the Conservatives with a ballot share of 33.6% nationally, while the NDP have slid to 30.3%. The Liberals remained in third with 26.5%, while the Greens and Bloc were at 4.4% and 4.2%, respectively.

Of note, in Quebec the Liberals were up by nearly 8 percentage points (25.0%). It is too early to say, however, if this is a one-month phenomenon or the start of a longer trend.

Healthcare and jobs remained tied as the top issue of national concern for Canadians (24.5% versus 23.7%). The environment registered the biggest change from the previous wave of tracking (up 3.2%), and was cited as the top issue of national concern by 9.4% of Canadians.

Stephen Harper continued to top the Nanos Leadership Index, some 25 points ahead of NDP leader Thomas Mulcair (72.7 versus 46.8). While Harper was more likely to be considered the most trustworthy leader, the most competent leader and the leader with the best vision for Canada in most regions, in Quebec it was Mulcair who continued to perform best on the Leadership Index.

Methodology

Between July 7th and 12th, 2012, Nanos Research conducted a national random telephone survey of 1,200 Canadians 18 years of age and older. A random telephone survey of 1,200 Canadians is accurate plus or minus 2.8 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. For 954 committed voters, it is accurate plus or minus 3.2 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

Results for May 31st, 2012 are from a random telephone survey of 1,201 Canadians conducted between May 26th and 31st, 2012. A random telephone survey of 1,201 Canadians is accurate plus or minus 2.8 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

National Ballot: For those parties you would consider voting for federally, could you please rank your top two current local preferences? (Committed voters only - First Preference)
Canada (n=954)

The numbers in parentheses denote the change from May 31st, 2012.

Decided Voters Only

Conservative: 33.6% (+0.1)

NDP: 30.3% (-3.3)

Liberal: 26.5% (+1.6)

Green: 4.4% (+2.0)

BQ: 4.2% (+0.8)





2 comments:

bertie said...

Who is paying for these polls??No one gives a rats ass about polls during the summer or 3 years before there could be an election..Why doesn't Nano,s go to sleep for 3 years and wake up when his polls really mean something.Or,maybe the MSM are paying for these polls so they have something to talk about.Their regular circulation is filled with lies and twisted stories about the Conservatives and half truth,s about the shooting violence in Toronto.Again WHO is paying for these polls?

wilson said...

Our lazy msm uses polls to generate story lines (mostly antiHarper).... like Libs numbers jump up after Rae declares not running.
Or everyone loves little PET and the Libs could win next election with him as leader.

All garbage.